Thursday, March 7, 2019

This Expense Will Surge 70% for Broadcom in 2019: Why Investors Should Pay Attention

During its fiscal year 2018, chip giant Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) spent $1.23 billion on stock-based compensation -- up 33.4% from the prior year. That was a significant increase, but that jump seems downright modest compared to the $2.1 billion -- a more than 70% increase -- in share-based compensation that the company expects to dole out in fiscal year 2019 (the current fiscal year). 

Let's take a look at what's driving that massive increase and what it means for investors.

A semiconductor wafer being processed.

Image source: Getty Images.

Equity for everyone

According to Broadcom CFO Tom Krause, the company is "implementing a special broad-based, multi-year equity award program for our employees, including our new CA employees."

In explaining the rationale behind this, Krause explained that the company thinks that "providing four years of equity grants upfront creates clarity regarding future compensation that creates a powerful retention incentive in an otherwise tight labor market and a sharpened focus on long-term stockholder value creation." 

For some perspective, much of Broadcom's core engineering happens in Silicon Valley, where many successful high-tech companies operate. This leads to substantial demand for skilled hardware and software engineers -- demand that's so high that, as you might have noticed, Krause characterized it as a "tight labor market." 

In fact, as Silicon Valley Business Journal recently pointed out, the median Broadcom employee makes north of $200,000 per year.

So what Broadcom is ultimately trying to do is to make sure that its workforce sticks around.

The right long-term move, but at what cost?

What Broadcom is doing here is unquestionably the right long-term move -- the company needs to ensure that its workers are well compensated, lest they be lured away in large numbers by Broadcom's peers in Silicon Valley. 

This will, however, cost shareholders. Firstly, the issuance of these shares will increase the total number of shares that the company has outstanding, serving to dilute the company's earnings per share (EPS) -- although the company's share-repurchase program could serve to mitigate that increase.

Moreover, the large increase in share-based compensation is going to negatively impact the company's earnings on a GAAP basis, since such compensation does count toward the company's operating expenses on that basis. Broadcom's non-GAAP results exclude, among other things, share-based compensation, so those results should continue to look good.

In fact, when Broadcom issued its financial guidance for fiscal 2019, it gave both GAAP and non-GAAP guidance. On a GAAP basis, the company's operating margin is expected to be just 20%, but on a non-GAAP basis, the company's operating margin is expected to be an incredible 51%.

Now, to be fair, that disparity isn't entirely -- or even mostly -- driven by share-based compensation. In addition to the $2.1 billion in share-based compensation, Broadcom says that there's $4.7 billion of "amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets," $570 million in "restructuring charges," and $210 million in "acquisition-related costs" separating its GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses. 

So if we add back in the share-based compensation but exclude everything else, Broadcom's operating margin for its fiscal 2019 would have been north of 42% -- still excellent by any measure, but not as good as the 51% that the company is guiding to. 

Back to normal by 2022

According to Krause, the company's stock-based compensation expense will "start to come down in 2020 and decline from there back to our normal level by 2022."

For investors who primarily pay attention to a company's GAAP results (which, frankly, for an acquisitive company like Broadcom, probably doesn't make a ton of sense), the EPS headwind that the company will face in fiscal 2019 will abate over the next few years. 

If you mainly judge the health of the business based on its non-GAAP results, then this spike in share-based compensation expense probably isn't likely to impact your view of Broadcom stock as an investment. 

Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Brokerages Expect Progenics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PGNX) Will Post Quarterly Sales of $13.12 Million

Wall Street analysts expect Progenics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:PGNX) to post $13.12 million in sales for the current fiscal quarter, according to Zacks Investment Research. Two analysts have provided estimates for Progenics Pharmaceuticals’ earnings, with the highest sales estimate coming in at $17.94 million and the lowest estimate coming in at $8.30 million. Progenics Pharmaceuticals reported sales of $3.89 million during the same quarter last year, which would suggest a positive year-over-year growth rate of 237.3%. The firm is scheduled to issue its next quarterly earnings report on Thursday, March 14th.

On average, analysts expect that Progenics Pharmaceuticals will report full year sales of $25.52 million for the current year, with estimates ranging from $20.70 million to $30.33 million. For the next financial year, analysts forecast that the company will post sales of $52.60 million, with estimates ranging from $42.40 million to $62.80 million. Zacks’ sales calculations are a mean average based on a survey of analysts that cover Progenics Pharmaceuticals.

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Several research firms have weighed in on PGNX. ValuEngine raised Progenics Pharmaceuticals from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, November 8th. Zacks Investment Research raised Progenics Pharmaceuticals from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Saturday, November 10th. BidaskClub raised Progenics Pharmaceuticals from a “strong sell” rating to a “sell” rating in a research report on Tuesday, November 6th. Finally, Credit Suisse Group began coverage on Progenics Pharmaceuticals in a research report on Friday, December 7th. They set an “outperform” rating and a $6.50 price target on the stock. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, one has given a hold rating and five have given a buy rating to the stock. The stock has a consensus rating of “Buy” and an average price target of $10.35.

PGNX stock traded down $0.14 during midday trading on Thursday, hitting $4.26. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 2,655,863 shares, compared to its average volume of 1,090,232. The company has a current ratio of 9.51, a quick ratio of 9.51 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33. Progenics Pharmaceuticals has a 1 year low of $3.62 and a 1 year high of $9.42. The stock has a market cap of $377.06 million, a P/E ratio of -4.73 and a beta of 2.40.

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. Pacer Advisors Inc. purchased a new position in shares of Progenics Pharmaceuticals during the 3rd quarter valued at $102,000. Fosun International Ltd lifted its position in shares of Progenics Pharmaceuticals by 14.0% during the 4th quarter. Fosun International Ltd now owns 454,588 shares of the biotechnology company’s stock valued at $1,773,000 after buying an additional 56,000 shares during the last quarter. Creative Planning lifted its holdings in Progenics Pharmaceuticals by 23.9% during the 3rd quarter. Creative Planning now owns 258,600 shares of the biotechnology company’s stock worth $1,621,000 after purchasing an additional 49,890 shares in the last quarter. Teachers Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in Progenics Pharmaceuticals by 6.9% during the 3rd quarter. Teachers Advisors LLC now owns 241,655 shares of the biotechnology company’s stock worth $1,515,000 after purchasing an additional 15,696 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Northern Trust Corp lifted its holdings in Progenics Pharmaceuticals by 6.8% during the 2nd quarter. Northern Trust Corp now owns 934,820 shares of the biotechnology company’s stock worth $7,516,000 after purchasing an additional 59,558 shares in the last quarter. 90.77% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About Progenics Pharmaceuticals

Progenics Pharmaceuticals, Inc develops medicines and other technologies to target and treat cancer in the United States and internationally. The company's primary clinical-stage product candidates include Azedra, a radiotherapeutic product candidate, which is in Phase IIb clinical trial under special protocol assessment for the treatment of malignant, recurrent, and/or unresectable pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma; 1404, a technetium-99m labeled small molecule, which is in Phase III clinical trial that acts as an imaging agent to diagnose and detect prostate cancer, as well as soft tissue and bone metastases; and PyL, a fluorinated prostate specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeted positron emission topography (PET) imaging agent for prostate cancer.

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