Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Invest early to reap long term benefits: Wiseinvest

Below is an edited transcript of his interview. Also watch the accompanying video.

Q: An investor wants to invest Rs 2,000 per month. How can he allocate that money?

A: It is good that he is planning to invest so early for his child's education, which is what I think every investor who is looking to achieve his long-term goal should be following this strategy. When you invest for the long-term specially, when you have a time horizon of 15-20-25 years, power of compounding plays a very important role and there to get the best out it among other factors a very important factor is to start early. So I think he is on the right track as far as the investment strategies or planning is concerned.

But since he has three dependents, my recommendation to him would be that he should make sure that he has adequate risk cover in the form of life insurance as well as health insurance. He has a policy Jeevan Anand, but I am not too sure whether this plan will give him the adequate quantum of cover that he wants. In case there is a shortfall a term plan and also for health plan, he can look at a family floater plan before start investing for this objective.

As far as his investment is concerned, since he has a time horizon of 25 years he can definitely invest in equity funds, especially because he is going to be investing every month so he can set a SIP in two good quality well diversified equity funds. He can consider HDFC Equity and Canara Robeco Diversified Equity Fund . These are two good funds for him. Assuming an annualized return of around 12% over the period of 25 years, he can hope to build a corpus of around Rs 34 lakh. But since his target is Rs 1 crore he will have to increase his amount to Rs 6,000 per month. If he can't do that currently, he should ensure that as and when is possible in future he should try and increase the amount so that he can reach closer to his target.

Q: An investor can invest Rs 12000 per month. I have a Jeevan Anand policy and its yearly premium is Rs 25000 per annum. I do have two mutual funds, one is HDFC Top 200 and I am investing Rs 2000 per month in that and I am investing Rs 2000 per month in HDFC Premier Equity . My time horizon is around 15-20 years and my goal is around Rs 40-45 lakh. How should I allocate the money?

A: Let me just begin with the risk cover you said you have LIC plan Jeevan Anand which is a good plan but I am not too sure whether it will give you the adequate risk cover or not. You need to make sure that you life insurance cover that you have is atleast 10 times your annual income and also make sure that you have adequate risk cover in terms of health, so one should take care of these two things.

As far as your goal is concerned, since you have a time horizon of 15 years, you can definitely invest in equity funds. You are already investing in two quality equity funds; one is HDFC Equity which is multi cap fund and HDFC Top 200 which is predominantly a large cap fund.

My recommendation is that you can include one more quality midcap in your portfolio, which is IDFC Premier Equity . So if I assume a return of around 12% over the next 15 years and if you continue this process for this entire period, you can hope to get a corpus of around Rs 66 lakh. You mentioned about your target is to create a corpus of Rs 50 lakh for buying a house and a car, make sure that you take in inflation into account because if you are talking about today's value then your requirement after 15 years is going to be much more. Like I said, this can only create a corpus of around Rs 66 lakh, I am talking about total investment of this new investment and the two which he is already doing, so rework on the target and see if you can increase some amount, so that you can achieve your targets.

Monday, April 20, 2015

How Are IAC’s Websites Performing?

With shares of IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ:IACI) trading at around $49.78, is IACI an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

C = Catalyst for the Stock's Movement

IAC was written about in our newsletter on March 8, 2013 and rated an OUTPERFORM. At that time, the stock was trading at $43.57. Therefore, it would have been a good investment. However, is that still the case today?

IAC impressed last quarter with a year-over-year revenue increase of 15.90 percent, and a year-over-year earnings increase of 55.60 percent. On a larger scale, revenue has consistently improved on an annual basis, and earnings have made tremendous improvements since 2008 and 2009. Earnings did drop in 2012, but this shouldn't be cause for concern. IAC is in a much better place than it was several years ago. It's now more strategic when it comes to acquisitions and capital allocation.

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IAC is trading at 26 times earnings, which is higher than the industry average of 22 times earnings. However, margins are respectable. Profit margin is 6.15 percent, and operating margin is 12.19 percent. IAC does yield 1.90 percent, which is a nice bonus, especially considering peers like AOL (NYSE:AOL) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO) don't offer any yield.

IAC does have an 8.80 percent short position. This doesn't add up considering the fundamentals. However, this isn't the type of stock that would hold up well if the market were to falter. Many bears out there are shorting expensive stocks in anticipation of a market correction. It's not likely that the majority of these shorts are going after IAC for other reasons. After all, IAC has delivered consistent profits, top-line growth is good on an annual basis, the brand portfolio is highly diversified, monetization methods are effective, the balance sheet is healthy, there is international growth potential, and the Internet is still growing in regards to popularity. Furthermore, analysts like the stock: 14 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Underperform.

The company culture at IAC is subpar. According to Glassdoor.com, employees have rated their employer a 2.9 of 5, and only 49 percent of employees would recommend the company to a friend. That said, there is an enormous disconnect here. Despite those poor numbers, an impressive 86 percent of employees approve of CEO Greg Blatt. It looks as though leadership is good, but there are problems on lower management levels.

Now for the fun part. Let's see how well some of IAC's sites are performing.

 

The information below is based on stats from Alexa.com.

Ask.com

Global Rank: 27

U.S. Rank: 19

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Up 13.7 percent

Time-On-Site: Up 5 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Down 2 percent

 

About.com

Global Rank: 85

U.S. Rank: 36

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 0.87 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 3 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 1 percent

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OKCupid.com

Global Rank: 693

U.S. Rank: 189

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 0.96 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 2 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 16 percent

 

Tutor.com

Global Rank: 88,437

U.S. Rank: 23,898

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Up 9 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 5 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Down 6 percent

 

CollegeHumor.com

Global Rank: 3,309

U.S. Rank: 1,458

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 13.87 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 11 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 12 percent

 

CitySearch.com

Global Rank: 3,507

U.S. Rank: 1,002

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Up 8.0 percent

Time-On-Site: Up 8 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Down 3 percent

 

Urbanspoon.com

Global Rank: 2,155

U.S. Rank: 636

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 0.89 percent

Time-On-Site: Even

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 1 percent

 

DailyBurn.com

Global Rank: 28,115

U.S. Rank: 8,666

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 8.79 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 8 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Down 2 percent

 

Chemistry.com

Global Rank: 7,648

U.S. Rank: 1,371

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Up 19 percent

Time-On-Site: Up 9 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 9 percent

 

Vimeo.com

Global Rank: 140

U.S. Rank: 112

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 2.19 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 3 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 3 percent

 

 

Match.com

Global Rank: 356

U.S. Rank: 92

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 7.09 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 8 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 11 percent

 

 

Shoebuy.com

Global Rank: 6,700

U.S. Rank: 1,481

Pageviews-Per-User (past three months): Down 1.31 percent

Time-On-Site: Down 4 percent

Bounce Rate (only one pageview per visit): Up 3 percent

 

Overall, website performance is average. There haven't been many significant changes in either direction.

Let's take a look at some more important numbers prior to forming an opinion on this stock.

T = Technicals Are Strong

IAC has performed well over the past three years. Is this trend likely to continue?

1 Month Year-To-Date 1 Year 3 Year
IACI 2.34% 6.49% 13.73% 120.4%
AOL -9.98% 18.74% 52.01% 94.07%
YHOO -1.60% 32.66% 72.55% 72.66%

At $49.78, IAC is trading above its averages.

50-Day SMA 48.95
200-Day SMA 45.04
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E = Equity to Debt Ratio Is Normal

The debt-to-equity ratio for IAC is normal. Debt isn’t a concern.

Debt-To-Equity Cash Long-Term Debt
IACI 0.33 679.57M 580.00M
AOL 0.05 467.80M 104.20M
YHOO 0.00 3.01B 36.00M

E = Earnings Have Been Steady

Earnings have substantially improved over the past several years. However, there was a slight setback in 2012. Revenue has improved over the past three years.

Fiscal Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Revenue ($) in millions 1,445 1,376 1,637 2,059 2,801
Diluted EPS ($) -1.09 -7.06 0.94 1.85 1.71

Looking at the last quarter on a year-over-year basis, revenue and earnings improved.

Quarter Mar. 31, 2012 Jun. 30, 2012 Sep. 30, 2012 Dec. 31, 2012 Mar. 31, 2013
Revenue ($) in millions 640.60 680.61 714.47 765.25 742.25
Diluted EPS ($) 0.38 0.47 0.43 0.43 0.61

Now let's take a look at the next page for the Conclusion. Is this stock an OUTPERFORM, a WAIT AND SEE, or a STAY AWAY?

Conclusion

IAC isn't the most loved company on the street, which is evidenced by that 8.80 percent short position. However, IAC continues to deliver on the top and bottom lines. As long as that remains to be the case, IAC is an OUTPERFORM.