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On September 5, 2013, we began managing the Meridian Growth Fund. It is our distinct honor to take the helm of this venerable fund, which was founded by Richard Aster nearly 30 years ago. Through rigorous fundamental research, disciplined portfolio construction, and a focus on managing risk before reward, we hope to expand upon Meridian Growth Fund's legacy. We will use the same process and philosophy that served us well managing another mutual fund for 7 years. Namely, our investment philosophy is centered on four key tenets: 1. Employ fundamental research to identify high-quality growth businesses with predictable and recurring revenues, high returns on invested capital, and attractive risk-reward profiles. 2. Build a durable portfolio that first and foremost protects capital in tough, turbulent markets and secondarily keeps up with the broader market in bull market environments. 3. Always think about risk before reward. Almost 30 years of combined experience in small- and mid-cap markets have taught us the importance of sidestepping the landmines and pitfalls that trip up many other investors. 4. Protect and grow your hard-earned savings. To this end, we believe strongly that it's important that we eat our own cooking; we plan to allocate a significant percentage of our own net worth to Meridian Growth Fund. In our opinion, this disciplined process combined with decades of experience, extensive resources, and a long-term investment horizon are the key ingredients required for consistent outperformance versus our peers and our benchmark. We look forward to many rewarding years stewarding your capital. Performance overview The Meridian Growth Fund – Legacy Shares returned 17.31% during the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2014, underperforming its primary benchmark, the Russell 2500 Growth Index, which rose 26.26%. There were several factors that impacted performance during the period. The first was the portfolio manager transition that occurred on September 6, 2013. Prior to our portfolio management responsibilities, the portfolio underperformed the index by 4.12%. As part of the transition, we repositioned some of the portfolio's holdings to be consistent with our philosophy and process. The relative underperformance during the second half of the fiscal year ending June 30, 2014 was driven by the low-quality characteristics, such as low returns on capital, low profit margins and often negative earnings per share, of the stocks that performed best early in 2014. This underperformance was partially offset by the strong relative performance (seen in the low downside capture rates) during the market selloff from March to April 2014. The Meridian Growth Fund seeks to invest in high-quality (defined by overall profitability) and attractively valued stocks, which means the fund may underperform in periods such as the first quarter of this year. The second period of meaningful relative performance differential was the selloff from the index's peak in the first week of March through the low in early April. During that time the fund captured just 70% of the market's decline, with the Russell 2500 Growth falling 9.17% and the fund falling 6.46%. This experience is consistent with our goal of capturing less downside than the market in turbulent, volatile environments. By putting risk and downside protection at the forefront of our process, we believe we will be better positioned to deliver strong long-term absolute and relative returns. The top contributors to performance during the period were Trimble Navigation, Sensata Technologies, and Cadence Design Systems. • Trimble Navigation (TRMB) provides location-based solutions to its customers that enhance their productivity and profitability. The recovery in construction end markets and continued strong demand from the farm economy resulted in strong overall financial results for the company and a strong stock price. We trimmed the position as it began to exceed the upper end of the market cap range that we invest in. • Sensata Technologies (ST) develops, manufactures and sells sensors and controls. We are attracted to the company's large growth opportunity, which is driven by increased sensor penetration in industries such as automobiles and general industrial opportunities. We find Sensata's business model to be attractive given the stability of its revenues, strong operating leverage and excellent management team. During the period, the company benefited from a rebound in European automobile sales and deployed capital in several small accretive acquisitions. We have been trimming the position modestly as the stock approaches our price target. • Cadence Desi
 Pinterest/AP Pinterest, like all social media platforms, can be a huge time sink. And if you're not careful, it can cost you money, too. After all, it only takes a few failed Pinterest projects to funnel money into things you'll never use. But there is a flip side: Pinterest really can be a useful tool to improve your budget. Here are just five ideas: 1. Pin Budgeting Articles One of the easiest ways to use Pinterest for money management is to create a board for money-saving or money-making ideas. Troll your favorite personal finance websites for ideas on saving money on groceries, buying a home or saving for retirement. Pin them all to a single board so you can easily reference them later. And if you're a true neat freak (or just really like to read about personal finance), you could always break it down into separate boards. 2. Make a Shopping List Pinterest is an excellent resource for planning. You might use it to gather ideas for Christmas gifts or your child's birthday party. And you don't just have to pin do-it-yourself gift and party-planning ideas, either. You can use Pinterest to link to ready-made products from your favorite stores. The Rich Pins feature lets you pin products with a real-time price attached. So you can check back on your boards once in a while to see if the prices have dropped. Better yet, let Pinterest send you an email when a price changes on a product you've pinned. That way, you know you're getting the best deal. 3. Create a Wait List or a Wish List If you tend to overspend on last-minute splurges, consider using Pinterest as a wait list. Whenever you feel the urge to buy something -– be it a new pair of jeans, a new TV or even a new car -– pin an image of that item (or something close to it) to a Pinterest board. Then, give yourself 30 days. If you still want the item after 30 days, buy it. If not, you've saved yourself from an impulse buy. An alternative to this is to use Pinterest for a wish list. Say you see a new book or pair of earrings you'd really like to have, but you don't have the money. Stick them on a Pinterest board, and when your mom asks what you'd like for Christmas, you'll have something better to say than, "Uh, I don't know." 4. Gather DIY Ideas Pinterest is known for its "Pinteresty" DIY ideas. In fact, it launched as a way to gather great DIY ideas. Whether you're looking for frugal recipes, gardening tips or ideas for upcycling the clothes in your closet, you'll find it on Pinterest. A word of caution: Just because an experienced chef, seamstress or woodworker makes a project look easy, it doesn't mean the project actually is easy. So be careful about the projects you tackle. Start with projects that are well within your reach and then move on to more complicated ones. That way, you can avoid the "Pinterest fails" now littering the Web. 5. Organize Meal Planning Food is one of the biggest budget items for many families. It's also one of the easiest ways for most families to cut back on spending. If you find your family constantly throwing out leftovers or grabbing fast food because you forgot to plan something for dinner, Pinterest can help. This social media platform is chock-full of ideas for meals –- from simple to gourmet. You can use it to create your own family cookbook. You can split recipes you find online into several boards by theme. Then pick out your recipes each week to plan ahead, so you don't have to grab a fast-food burger on the way home.
Carlos Osorio/APGM's latest recall includes some newer models, including the 2013-14 Cadillac CTS. DETROIT -- The ignition switch recalls now engulfing General Motors (GM) and Chrysler are raising new questions about the safety of the parts across the American auto industry. GM's safety crisis deepened dramatically Monday when the automaker added 8.2 million vehicles in North America to its ballooning list of cars recalled over faulty ignition switches. GM has now issued five recalls for 17.1 million cars with defective switches, spanning every model year since 1997. On the same day, Chrysler recalled almost 700,000 vehicles in North America because its ignition switches -- like GM's -- can slip from the "run" to the "accessory" position while driving. The Chrysler action expands an earlier recall of 2010 Chrysler Town and Country and Dodge Grand Caravan minivans and Dodge Journey crossovers. Models from 2007 to 2009 are now included. GM's debacle caused other manufacturers to investigate their own switches and other potential defects. A recent spate of air bag recalls is probably tied to those internal investigations, said Karl Brauer, a senior industry analyst with Kelley Blue Book. The government is also reviewing the switches. Brauer said he doesn't think the ignition switch recalls will expand across the industry. Manufacturers all have their own switch designs and use different suppliers. But the possibility is there, and buyers should be aware of the potential for cars to slip into the wrong mode. If a car comes out of the "run" position, the power steering and brakes can stop working, which can cause drivers to lose control. The air bags also won't function. GM has urged drivers to remove excess items from their key chains that could weigh down the keys. "I think the ignition switch thing is fairly specific to GM, but it will be interesting to see. Were other companies letting their standards fall?" Brauer said. GM's latest recalls involve mainly older midsize cars and bring its total recalls in North America to 29 million this year, surpassing the 22 million recalled by all automakers last year. The new GM recalls cover seven vehicles, including the Chevrolet Malibu from 1997 to 2005, the Pontiac Grand Prix from 2004 to 2008, and the 2003-2014 Cadillac CTS. The company is aware of three deaths, eight injuries and seven crashes involving the vehicles, although it says there's no clear evidence that faulty switches caused the accidents. Air bags didn't deploy in the three fatal accidents, which is a sign that the ignition was out of position. But air bags may not deploy for other reasons as well. A GM spokesman couldn't say Monday if more recalls are imminent. But this may be the end of the recalls associated with a 60-day review of all of the company's ignition switches. At the company's annual meeting earlier in June, CEO Mary Barra said she hoped most recalls related to that review would be completed by the end of the month. Huge Number of Recalls Brauer said the number of recalls -- while huge -- may be a good thing for the company in the long run. "I think there's a new standard for what GM considers a potential safety defect, and Mary Barra has no tolerance or patience for potential safety defects that are unresolved," he said. In a statement Monday, Barra said the company "will act appropriately and without hesitation" if any new issues come to light. Lance Cooper, a Marietta, Georgia, attorney who is suing GM, said he expects even more recalls. A company funded investigation of the ignition switch problems by former U.S. Attorney Anton Valukas found that GM had a dysfunctional corporate culture in which people failed to take responsibility to fix the problems, Cooper said. "Cars got made that were defective. The buck kept getting passed, and this is what happened as a result," Cooper said. The announcement of more recalls extends a crisis for GM that began in February with small-car ignition switch problems. GM recalled 2.6 million older small cars worldwide because of the switches. Drawing Government Scrutiny The problem has drawn the attention of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, the government's road safety agency. On June 18, the agency opened two investigations into ignition switches in Chrysler minivans and SUVs, and acknowledged that it's looking at the whole industry. The agency is looking into how long air bags remain active after the switches are moved out of the run position. In many cases, the answer is less than a second. GM's recalls on Monday bring this year's total so far to more than 40 million for the U.S. industry, far surpassing the old full-year record of 30.8 million from 2004. The latest recalls came the same day the company's compensation consultant, Kenneth Feinberg, announced plans to pay victims of crashes caused by the defective small-car switches. Attorneys and lawmakers say about 100 people have died and hundreds were injured in crashes, although Feinberg said he didn't have a total. Feinberg said the company has placed no limit on how much he can spend in total to compensate victims. But victims of the new set of recalls announced Monday can't file claims to the fund, which deals only with the small cars. In the original recall, the ignition switches didn't meet GM's specifications but were used anyway, and they slipped too easily out of the "run" position. The vehicles recalled Monday have switches that do conform to GM's specifications. In these cases, the keys can move the ignition out of position because of jarring, bumps from the driver's knee or the weight of a heavy key chain, GM says. The cars recalled Monday will get replacement keys. The small cars recalled in February are getting new ignitions. The Detroit company said it plans to take a $1.2 billion charge in the second quarter for recall-related expenses. Added to a $1.3 billion charge in the first quarter, that brings total recall expenses for the year to $2.5 billion. GM also announced four other recalls Monday covering more than 200,000 additional vehicles. Most are to fix an electrical short in the driver's door that could disable the power locks and windows and even cause overheating.
Wall Street got wound up about Movado (MOV) after the maker of luxury watches warned that third-quarter results would sharply miss expectations because of slow growth in the industry and brand weakness overseas. For the third quarter, Movado expects sales of $188.6 million, below the $189.7 million in the year-earlier period and the $218 million expected by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. Movado also expects per-share earnings of 86 cents to 87 cents, below the Thomson Reuters estimate of $1.13. As for full-year forecasts, Movado now expects to earn between $1.80 and $1.85 a share on revenue of $585 million to $590 million, vs its previous outlook of $2.44 a share on revenue of $640 million. Movado is slated to post third-quarter results on Nov. 25. Heading into the closing bell, the stock dropped 28.7% to $27.43 after earlier falling as much as 35% to $25.12, its lowest point in more than two years. At its lowest Friday, the stock was down 47% from its 12-month high. As the WSJ reports: Watchmakers have been pressured by a lackluster economy in Europe and slowing sales in Asia, which had been a source of strength. In particular, sales in Hong Kong—the world's biggest watch market—have weakened because of pro-democracy protests that shut much of the city. Adding to the industry's headaches is the looming smartwatch from Apple Inc. which is expected to compete for consumer attention. "The overall watch category is experiencing slower growth and retailers are focusing on driving improved productivity. Moreover, certain of our brands did not perform as well as planned, including Movado in international markets," Chief Executive Efraim Grinberg said.
If any sector needed a Republican victory to reverse its fortunes it was the coal miners, where stocks like Alpha Natural Resources (ANR), Walter Energy (WLT), Arch Coal (ACI) and Peabody Energy (BTU) have lost more than 45% so far this year. Well, they got what they wanted. With a Republican victory, there’s a good chance that the Congress will “slow down EPA rules on coal,” Strategas Research Partners’ Daniel Clifton said in an interview last month, rules that have limited its use by utilities. A Republican Congress will also have the votes to push through approval for the Keystone XL pipeline. if that happens, it should free up some rail transport for coal, Clifton said, a problem that Peabody Energy recently said had limited its coal sales. The coal stocks are already acting as if an improvement in their fortunes is fait accompli. Shares of Alpha Natural Resources have jumped 8.4% to $2.26 at 11:13 a.m. today, while Walter Energy has gained 6% to $2.67 and Peabody Energy is up 3.7% to $10.67. Arch Coal has ticked up 0.2% to $2.26.
In some Saturn Auras, a gear shift cable can break causing the gear selector not to work. NEW YORK (CNNMoney) General Motors said Tuesday that is recalling 56,000 Saturn Aura sedans in the United States. The automaker said the cars could roll away when drivers think the vehicle is in Park because of a flaw that sometimes incorrectly displays the gear in the gear selector. The problem can occur in cars equipped with a four-speed automatic transmission. A gear shift cable can break even while the vehicle is being driven. If that happens, the driver would be able to move the gear selector, but unbeknownst to him, the car would not have shifted into another gear, such as Reverse of Park. If, after stopping the car, the driver is unable to shift into Park, the vehicle could roll away if the parking brake has not been applied.  Alfa Romeo is back with new 4C GM is currently aware of 28 crashes and four injuries resulting from this problem but no deaths. Gallery - Cool cars from the Beijing Auto Show The vehicles being recalled are all from model years 2007 and 2008. Owners will be asked to take their vehicles to a dealership to have the gear shift cable assembly replaced. Since its recall of 2.6 million compact and sports cars over a problem with ignition switches, a problem the automaker had known about for 10 years, GM has been facing increased scrutiny over its response to safety issues. The automaker has pledged to respond more quickly in the future when recalls are needed. GM has announced a number of recalls since then including a recent one of 52,000 SUVs for a fuel gauge issue. Still, GM was accused of being slow to respond to a power steering issue in Saturn Ions.
Alamy WASHINGTON -- A smaller trade deficit and a surge in defense spending buoyed U.S. economic growth in the third quarter, but other details of Thursday's report hinted at some loss of momentum in activity. Gross domestic product grew at a 3.5 percent annual rate, the Commerce Department said Thursday, beating economists' expectations for a 3 percent pace. While the pace of growth in business investment, housing and consumer spending slowed from the second quarter, all those categories contributed to growth. "The report was broadly constructive, with the gains broadly based and pointing to positive underlying momentum in the U.S. economy," said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York. "However, with some indications of weakness emerging in housing and consumption spending, we expect the pace of growth to slip further in the fourth quarter." Despite decelerating from the second quarter's brisk 4.6 percent pace, it was the fourth quarter out of five that the economy has expanded at or above a 3.5 percent clip. A separate report from the Labor Department showed first-time applications for unemployment benefits rose modestly last week, but remained at levels consistent with firming labor market conditions. The data came one day after the Federal Reserve ended its asset purchasing program. Fed officials said there was sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy. The dollar extended gains against the euro and the yen, while prices for U.S. Treasury debt trimmed gains. The narrower trade deficit reflected a plunge in imports, which fell at their fastest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012. That was largely attributed to a drop in oil imports. Trade added 1.32 percentage points to growth. Although there are concerns a strengthening dollar and slowing euro zone and Chinese economies will crimp U.S. export growth, economists believe the impact will be marginal. Government spending was also a boost, with defense spending rising at a 16 percent rate, its fastest pace since the second quarter of 2009. One of the few areas that was a drag on growth was inventories, which subtracted 0.57 percentage point from GDP after adding 1.42 percentage points in the second quarter. Business Spending Slows Growth in business investment slowed in the third quarter, with spending on equipment rising at only a 7.2 percent rate. Economists had expected a second straight quarter of double-digit growth. Business spending on structures and intellectual property products also slowed. Data on Tuesday suggested further moderation in the pace of equipment investment in the fourth quarter, but it is still expected to remain strong enough to keep the economy on a higher growth pace. While growth in consumer spending decelerated to a 1.8 percent pace from the second-quarter's 2.5 percent pace, it still contributed 1.22 percentage points to GDP growth. Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. The moderate pace of consumer spending helped keep inflation pressures under wraps during the quarter. A price index in the GDP report rose at a 1.2 percent rate in the third quarter after advancing at a 2.3 percent pace in the prior period. A core price measure that strips out food and energy costs increased at only a 1.4 percent pace, slowing sharply from the second quarter's 2 percent rate. Declining gasoline prices and accelerating job growth, which is expected to lift wages, will provide tailwinds for consumer spending in the fourth quarter. If you thought this classic horror movie was about a haunted house, see if this scenario sounds familiar: An idealistic young couple buys a home that sounds too good to be true. Once they're mortgaged to the hilt, problems start to crop up. They can't leave, they can't stay, and an unseen evil force starts to tear their family apart.
One of the worst things about getting older is that it seems like nobody wants you to have any fun. You have to be more careful about your health. When you exercise, you're supposed to keep your heart rate in a safe zone. Some retirees even face having their driver's licenses taken away once they reach a certain age. It's much the same with investing. After spending a lifetime making investing decisions and gaining valuable experience in the stock market, you'll hear most financial planners tell you that you should take a more conservative approach with less stock exposure. They'll cite the risk of owning stocks and say it's too high once you get older. Consider your own situation For many people, that logic makes sense. When you're young, you have time on your side, with decades before you'll need whatever money you save for retirement. With all of that time ahead of you, you can afford to take some big risks -- and even if your investments don't do well at first, it won't be fatal to your long-term financial prospects. That makes high-growth stocks a viable option, even when their prices can fluctuate much more wildly than the overall stock market. On the other hand, as you approach or enter retirement, you no longer have the luxury of a long time horizon to weather stock market downturns. You need that money now, and if the next market crash happens to hit you at just the wrong moment, you may have to sell at very low prices just to pay your bills. The concept that you should reduce your allocation to stocks is so universally accepted that certain types of mutual funds do it automatically. Target retirement funds change their investment strategy gradually over time to accommodate your changing risk tolerance. Yet even though these funds make investing automatic, they aren't able to handle all of the specific needs that you may have. Why one-size-fits-all might not fit you Reducing stock exposure as you get older only addresses one risk that investors face: the! potential for falling stock prices. But that's not the only risk people have to deal with as they move toward retirement. Inflation is a huge threat to your long-term prospects, even if your portfolio is big enough to cover your costs at the beginning of your retirement years. Low interest rates have been a big thorn in retirees' sides lately. Even if you lock up a $1 million portfolio in 10-year Treasury bonds, you'll only earn about $27,500 at current rates in order to cover expenses each year. Even if that's enough right now, your portfolio value will remain locked at that $1 million mark, and it won't be long before rising costs eat away the purchasing power of your fixed income. Stocks, on the other hand, offer not only prices that rise over time but also rising dividends. Many well-known companies have histories of raising their dividend payouts annually for decades. When they push their dividends higher, it provides extra income that retirees can use to keep up with the impact of inflation. Moreover, that income can prevent you from having to sell shares at inopportune moments. That said, some fortunate people have enough wealth that they can tolerate the risk of market downturns. For them, a typical retirement plan might involve selling some stocks every year to supplement other sources of retirement income. You can protect against the risk of a market drop by keeping enough money in safer investments to give your stocks a chance to recover. Even though this strategy involves keeping several years' worth of expenses in bonds, CDs, or cash, it still gives you the ability to keep a substantial fraction of your portfolio in assets that will provide you a better return. As an example, if you had retired in 2007 following this strategy, you might have chosen to forgo selling stocks in 2008 and 2009, waiting until the market recovered to sell and replenish your cash reserves. Getting more conservative as you grow older is a basic rule of thumb, and it can be helpfu! l for beg! inning investors to follow. The better choice, though, is to weigh the risks of different investment strategies and pick the one that will work best for you. That means you won't have to give up the fun of stock investing no matter how old you get. The Motley Fool is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news, analysis and commentary designed to help people take control of their financial lives. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY. <SCRIPT language='JavaScript1.1'SRC="http://ad.doubleclick.net/adj/N4538.USAToday/B2304017.8;abr=!ie;sz=550x300;ord=[timestamp]?"></SCRIPT><NOSCRIPT><AHREF="http://ad.doubleclick.net/jump/N4538.USAToday/B2304017.8;abr=!ie4;abr=!ie5;sz=550x300;ord=[timestamp]?"><IMGSRC="http://ad.doubleclick.net/ad/N4538.USAToday/B2304017.8;abr=!ie4;abr=!ie5;sz=550x300;ord=[timestamp]?" BORDER=0 WIDTH=550 HEIGHT=300ALT="Advertisement"></A></NOSCRIPT>
The U.S. economy continued to show signs of progress this quarter. The labour market improved, inflation was subdued, and manufacturing and capital expenditures indicated that an expansion is likely underway. In response, the U.S. Federal Reserve continued to taper its asset purchase program and communicated its plans to cease this program as of October. Fear that a withdrawal of economic stimulus will cause higher bond yields has not materialized thus far, as yields have actually decreased during this period. The next phase in the Fed's efforts to normalize monetary policy will be to raise interest rates; a process that most investors anticipate will begin sometime in 2015. Unfortunately, economic conditions outside of the U.S. were not as rosy. In Europe, the latest economic data indicates that growth stagnated while unemployment and industrial overcapacity remained stubbornly high. Geo-political tension between Russia and Ukraine, as well as the Scottish referendum on independence, created additional uncertainty that weighed on European sentiment. To encourage growth and combat a deflationary scenario, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced their version of an asset purchase program, or quantitative easing. By acquiring non-performing loans from European bank balance sheets, the ECB hopes that the banks will renew credit to corporations, thereby promoting growth. However, while European banks certainly need to clean up their books, it is unknown whether the demand for the additional credit truly exists. This "pushing on a string" argument is top of mind among many investors. In Japan, GDP contracted sharply this quarter as both consumer spending and capital expenditure declined. In part, this was in response to the sales tax increase from 5% to 8%. This suggests that there is much uncertainty whether Prime Minister Abe's economic reforms will reinvigorate growth in Japan and pull the nation out of its long-standing deflationary quagmire. Meanwhile, in China, the banking system remains under pressure given the abundance of bad loans linked to an overheated real estate market. It is unclear how authorities will tackle this program, but the result of their actions could have a far-reaching global economic impact. Overall, the global economic picture is mixed, with evidence suggesting that the growth outlook is deteriorating. But this is balanced by an absence of inflationary pressure in the developed world and monetary policies that remain extremely accommodative. Consequently, global equity markets were relatively flat in local currency terms. Chart A outlines the quarterly performance, expressed in Canadian dollars, of some of the notable equity indices around the world. Unquestionably, the rise in the MSCI World Index (C$) and the S&P 500 Index (C$) were primarily driven by strong U.S. dollar returns, which masked an otherwise lackluster quarter for most of the world's equity markets. Though Japan and some other Asian markets joined the U.S. on the positive side of the ledger, equity markets throughout much of Europe were decidedly negative. German and French markets now rest in negative territory on a year-to-date basis, with several other European countries flirting with a similar fate. A sharp correction in oil, natural gas, and several other commodity prices proved to be a difficult headwind for Canadian equity markets to overcome. With the Energy and Materials sectors accounting for approximately 38% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, and over 49% of the BMO Small Cap Index, the losses endured by companies operating in these sectors dragged down the overall market. We should not overlook how regional divergences in equity returns were significantly influenced by currency movements this quarter. Due to the relative strength of the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve is further along the path of interest rate normalization than many of its developed peers. Thus, the expectation for higher rates in the U.S., and potentially more easing in other regions of the world, propelled the U.S. dollar higher this quarter. Its status as a safe haven currency in times of crisis — and there have been no shortages of geo-political tensions of late — lent further support to its ascent. Its appreciation versus the Canadian dollar was approximately 4.9% this quarter, whereas gains versus the Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, and Australian dollar were even more pronounced. The implications for Canadian investors were twofold. First, investments held in U.S. dollars were bolstered by nearly 5% when converted to Canadian dollars. This turned a mere 1.1% gain in the S&P 500 in U.S. dollar terms into a much more impressive 6.1% gain in Canadian dollars. Second, investments denominated in the other aforementioned currencies lost value due to the translation effect. Chart B notes the magnitude of this effect from a Canadian perspective. Market Overview Chart A Q3 2014 Equity Index Performance (C$) Meanwhile, with a mediocre and unbalanced growth outlook, central banks continued to provide accommodative monetary policy. In general, developed market bond yields moved modestly lower this quarter. While this was most apparent in Europe, yields in Canada also retreated, with the 10-year Government of Canada bond yield declining from 2.24% to 2.15%. This was one of the factors leading the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index to a 1.1% gain. Performance was positive across the Federal, Provincial, and Corporate sectors, with Provincials leading the way, like they did last quarter. As expected in a declining yield environment, with other factors held constant, longer-term bonds outperformed short and mid-term securities. Chart C summarizes the performance of the various components of the Canadian bond market. How Did We Do? In absolute terms, Mawer's performance was rather uneventful this quarter. The Balanced strategy (gross of fees) gained 1.0% with most of the underlying asset classes performing within a narrow range of this figure. Results were mixed on a relative basis with most asset classes closely tracking their underlying benchmark. The exceptions were the U.S. Equity strategy that lagged the S&P 500 Index (C$) by 2.3% and the New Canada strategy that outpaced its benchmark by over 10%. Chart D highlights the quarterly performance (gross of fees) of various Mawer strategies relative to their benchmarks. The 1.6% decline in the International Equity strategy slightly trailed the 1.3% loss in the MSCI EAFE Index (C$). Our security selection in Europe resulted in a decline of 4.8% among our European companies compared to a 2.4% decline among European companies in the MSCI EAFE Index. Our German selections were especially disappointing as they shed over 12% this quarter, led by a 17% loss in BASF, a diversified chemicals company, and an 11% decline in BMW. Fortunately this was offset by strong security selection within Asia ex-Japan, where we have allocated over 17% of the portfolio, and enjoyed average returns that exceeded 10%. China Mobile (CHL), one of our recent additions to the portfolio, gained over 26% this quarter as it continued to benefit from a dominant position in China's telecom market. Our addition of China Mobile to the portfolio in April is a good example of Mawer's bottom-up process at work. In the months leading up to our initial purchase of the company, its share price had been in a steady decline as investors seemed to be overly worried with short-term issues. Our discounted cash flow approach, however, focuses on the long-term cash flow generating ability of the business rather than placing heavy emphasis on the near-term. This analysis identified China Mobile as trading at a significant discount to what we believe is its true value, thereby offering the potential for above average future returns. As we've expressed in previous quarters, we've been actively re-allocating capital from businesses that appear to be fully valued towards businesses that we believe are more reasonably priced. Not every new addition instantly yields a 26% return as China Mobile did this quarter, but it's a good example of the potential benefit of following a disciplined approach. Although the 3.9% gain in the U.S. Equity strategy represented the highest absolute return this quarter, it also underperformed its benchmark by the widest margin as it trailed the S&P 500 Index (C$) by 2.3%. This can be attributed to poor security selection, where we modestly underperformed across several sectors. Generally, our underperformance wasn't from selecting companies that underperformed, but from omitting companies in the S&P 500 Index that performed exceptionally well over the last three months. For example, the eight companies we own in the Information Technology sector represent approximately 20% of our portfolio, and collectively they rose by approximately 6.1% this quarter. But the overall sector increased by 9.9%. Looking closer, we see this sector was driven higher by companies we don't own, such as Facebook (FB) (+23%), Yahoo (YHOO) (+22%), and Apple (AAPL) (+14%). These are businesses that we have considered for our portfolios but concluded that they did not meet our criteria of having sustainable competitive advantages that can create wealth in the long-run, while also being attractively valued. Lagging the benchmark in the short-term is disappointing, but we believe that we can outperform over the long-term by following our disciplined, bottom-up approach. We believe that straying from our approach in order to invest in companies like Facebook, which currently trades at about 80 times earnings, is not prudent for long-term investors. The Global Equity strategy lagged its benchmark by approximately 1.0% this quarter. Our underweight position in U.S. equities relative to the benchmark proved detrimental. Security selection in the Information technology sector was also weak, led by a decline of almost 15% in Samsung. The Global Small Cap Equity strategy lost 0.2% this quarter, but outperformed the Russell Global Small Cap Index (C$) that shed 2.0%. An overweight position in Europe did not prove favourable, but our minimal exposure to the weak Energy sector, and strong security selection across numerous sectors, more than compensated for this decision. Our Canadian Equity strategy gained 0.7% while the S&P/TSX Composite Index lost 0.6%. The Energy and Materials sectors account for approximately 38% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, but less than 18% of our portfolio. Given that these were the two weakest sectors this quarter, our outperformance was primarily attributed to this positioning. This was partially offset by weaker security selection, particularly in the Financials and Industrials sectors. In absolute terms, the 1.4% gain in our New Canada strategy was modest, but this was significantly greater than the 8.8% loss in the BMO Small Cap Index. Emphasizing the Financials sector and being underweight the Materials sector proved to be favourable, but most of our outperformance was attributed to excellent security selection throughout the portfolio. For example, Materials companies within the BMO Small Cap Index lost 14% this quarter, whereas our selections gained over 10%, led by Intertape Polymer (TSX:ITP), a Quebec-based packaging company that rose approximately 38%. The Industrials sector shed over 7%, but our selections gained over 5%, led by an 18% gain in Logistec (TSX:LGT.A), another Quebec-based business that provides cargo handling and other services to North American ports. Finally, our Canadian Bond strategy gained 0.9% this quarter, modestly trailing the 1.1% return of the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index. Security selection was strong among our Federal securities, but weaker in the Provincial and Corporate sectors. Tim Hortons bonds reacted negatively to the proposed merger with Burger King as this is expected to increase the degree of leverage in the business. Although we had been cautious regarding this investment and held just 1.5% of the portfolio in Tim Hortons securities at the time of the announcement, the losses that arose from the proposed merger were significant enough to detract from the overall performance of the strategy. Portfolio Positioning Although the U.S. economy appears to be on solid footing, growth in Europe has stagnated, and China, like many other developing economies, is experiencing a slowdown in economic growth. It's plausible that this deterioration can be remedied with additional monetary stimulus and structural reforms, and global growth can re-accelerate. But it's also possible that this is a harbinger of things to come; that is, we may be entering a phase of slower global growth, which may be a precursor for deflation. How and when central banks transition from accommodative monetary policy to more normalized conditions will be a delicate task, and likely a predominant theme in the years to come. Given this murky outlook, we continue to believe that diversification is the primary tool in building resilient portfolios. We have a modest bias towards equities given our belief that cash and bonds offer limited upside in the current environment. But we are cognizant that should slower growth occur, and a deflationary scenario follow, cash and bonds will likely provide more downside protection than equities. Rather than speculate on how the world will unfold and aggressively position our portfolios for one particular outcome, we feel investors are better served striving for resilience to multiple outcomes, even if that means foregoing higher returns in the near-term. Within equities, we continue to emphasize global equities relative to Canadian companies and currently have a bias to U.S. equities relative to European or Asian companies. This reflects not only our positive outlook on the U.S. economy, but also our belief that American companies benefit from longer-term structural advantages relative to their global peers. For example, a reliable source of low cost energy offers a cost advantage to American companies that few peers can replicate. And, as we are reminded with the recent escalation in geo-political tensions around the world, the U.S. dollar tends to be viewed as a safe haven currency. For Canadian investors, this introduces the possibility for a positive translation effect, as we experienced this quarter, lending additional resilience should geo-political tensions escalate. Although we continue to believe equities remain the most attractive asset class, discipline is needed to manage the risk of excessive valuations. This risk is mitigated by our continual effort to re-allocate capital from businesses that appear fully valued towards those that are more reasonably priced. Finally, the positioning of our bond portfolio continues to emphasize highly rated Corporate and Provincial securities. Within the Federal sector, we have enhanced yields by including Federalagency bonds. To provide additional resilience, we have positioned the portfolio to be less sensitive to changes in interest rates. This includes having a lower duration than that of our benchmark, as well as allocating approximately 10% of the portfolio to Floating Rate Note securities which offer capital protection in a rising yield environment. Also check out: Mawer New Canada Fund Undervalued Stocks Mawer New Canada Fund Top Growth Companies Mawer New Canada Fund High Yield stocks, and Stocks that Mawer New Canada Fund keeps buying |